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RBNZ keeps the cash rate unchanged; but expects further cuts READ ON Dismiss
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Borrowers holding out for more cuts

While one bank economist thinks home loan rates won't go much lower, even if the RBNZ makes one or two more cuts, a significant number of borrowers are holding out for lower interest rates. [READ ON]

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Bollard keeps rates on hold; OCR cut an outside chance

Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard's latest monetary policy statement suggests mortgage rates aren't going up any time soon although the likelihood they might fall further remains an outside chance.

Thursday, June 14th 2012, 10:13AM

by Jenny Ruth

As expected, Bollard left his official cash rate (OCR) unchanged at its record low of 2.5% and the central bank's forecasts imply it won't rise before the second quarter of next year.

"Rate cuts aren't part of their (the Reserve Bank's) central view going forward," says Nick Tuffley, chief economist at ASB Bank.

"A rate cut is still on the cards but it's very much a contingency as opposed to the risk some people thought it was," Tuffley says. He rates the risk of a rate cut, likely in response to Europe's crisis worsening significantly with either a country default or Greece and possibly other countries leaving the euro, at one in three.

Stephen Toplis at Bank of New Zealand says the wholesale financial market currently has a 13% chance of an OCR cut in July priced in.

While wholesale rates were down slightly across the board, it was difficult to tell whether that was in reaction to Bollard's statement or to international ratings agency Moody's downgrading Spain's credit rating at about the same time.

"It's right to price in a chance of an easing if your fundamental view is that Europe's going to implode," Toplis says.

Mortgage rates are "certainly not going up. Whether they fall any further or not will depend on the competitive and relative position of the banks and their cost of funds," he says.

Dominick Stephens, chief economist at Westpac, says a significant blow-up in Europe would likely lead to a very significant drop in the OCR with the next significant event being Greece's second general election this year on June 17.

However, the statement put paid to the idea Bollard would cut the OCR simply on the risk of a blow-up in Europe, Stephens says.

 

« OCR unchanged at 2.5 percentCo-operative Bank grows mortgage book, gains new CEO »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 4.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 6.54 4.89 4.95 5.09
ANZ 6.49 5.55 5.55 5.69
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 4.95 4.95 5.09
ASB Bank 6.44 4.89 4.95 5.09
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance - Near Prime 6.90 - - -
Avanti Finance - Specialised 8.34 - - -
Basecorp Finance ▼7.15 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - Mortgage One 6.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 6.54 - - -
BNZ - Std 6.44 4.89 4.95 5.09
BNZ - TotalMoney 6.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 4.99 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.70 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 7.20 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 7.99 - - -
China Construction Bank 6.44 4.85 4.95 4.95
China Construction Bank Special 6.44 5.85 5.95 5.95
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 4.85 - -
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 5.95 4.95 4.99 5.25
Co-operative Bank - Standard 5.95 5.45 5.49 5.75
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 5.29 5.19 -
First Credit Union Standard 6.94 5.79 5.49 -
Heartland Bank - Online 5.99 5.89 - -
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 7.45 5.90 5.80 -
ICBC 6.50 4.85 4.95 5.05
Kainga Ora 6.44 4.89 4.95 5.09
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Kiwibank 6.35 5.79 5.85 5.95
Kiwibank - Offset 6.35 - - -
Kiwibank Special - 4.89 4.95 5.15
Liberty 6.90 6.80 6.50 6.45
Nelson Building Society 6.94 4.99 4.93 -
Pepper Money Near Prime 6.85 - - -
Pepper Money Prime 6.29 - - -
Pepper Money Specialist 8.30 - - -
SBS Bank 6.49 ▼5.49 5.55 ▼5.69
SBS Bank Special - ▼4.89 4.95 ▼5.09
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS Construction lending for FHB 3.94 - - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - 4.29 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 8.64 - - -
TSB Bank 7.19 5.69 5.75 6.09
TSB Special 6.39 4.89 4.95 5.29
Unity First Home Buyer special - 4.29 - -
Unity Special 6.64 4.99 4.99 -
Unity Standard 6.64 5.79 5.79 -
Wairarapa Building Society 6.75 5.09 4.95 -
Westpac 6.59 5.49 5.55 5.59
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Choices Everyday 6.69 - - -
Westpac Offset 6.59 - - -
Westpac Special - 4.89 4.95 4.99
Median 6.56 4.99 4.99 5.15

Last updated: 10 July 2025 4:59pm

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