House prices worry NZIER
It has released its June quarter predictions and says the economy is recovering gradually, boosted by the Canterbury rebuild and rapid growth in household borrowing.
But it said house prices were a risk, as was the prospect of households adding to already high levels of debt.
"Auckland house prices have risen sharply over the past year. When house prices stretch too far from incomes, they may fall if there is an economic shock."
It pointed to the United States and Britain, where inflation-adjusted house prices fell 30% in the recent downturn.
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