No cut expected for OCR
Most of the economists who responded to the survey think the Reserve Bank will leave the OCR unchanged at 2.75% next week.
Just one – Doug Steel from BNZ – bucked the trend. He thought there was a 51% probability that the RBNZ will cut the OCR by 25 bps on Thursday.
The rest of the economists surveyed were divided in when they expected the RBNZ to cut the OCR again, although they all thought the next cut would be triggered by factors like low inflation, a high NZD or increasing overseas risks.
Those who thought the RBNZ would cut the OCR by 25 bps to leave it at 2.5% in December edged out those who are anticipating the next cut, again of 25 bps, will be in early 2016.
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