No surprises expected in OCR this week, but plenty to look for
Thanks to a relatively benign economic environment, all the economists consulted in a mortgagerates.co.nz survey expected the Reserve Bank to keep the OCR unchanged at 3.5%.
In fact, most of the respondents firmly emphasised that a cut in the short-term was highly unlikely.
However, ASB senior economist Nick Tuffley said he that put a 25% chance on the Reserve Bank cutting the OCR over the next six months.
“Further NZ dollar strength, global economic deterioration, a severe impact from the New Zealand drought are some factors that could singly or collectively prompt the Reserve Bank to cut.”
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