NZ Banks “well placed to withstand stagflation” – RBNZ
The sector was examined for its ability to withstand twin assaults from high inflation and a shrinking economy – so-called stagflation.
The RBNZ does a test like this every year – dubbed the Bank Solvency Stress Test.
Its latest analysis assumed a global slowdown in economic activity at the same time as central banks raised interest rates due to high inflation and the lingering impact of Covid 19.
According to this scenario, house prices fell 47%, the sharemarket 38%, unemployment rose to 9.3%, GDP slipped by 5%, and the OCR and the 2-year fixed mortgage rate were at 5.5% and 8.4% respectively.
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