OCR rise tipped for second half of this year
In contrast. Kiwibank chief economist Jarrod Kerr says while the economy shows tentative signs of recovery, any talk of OCR hikes is way too early.
“Do we need rate hikes this year? It’s simply too early to know, with conviction. And the path of lest regret is to hold until next year,” he says.
The NZIER’s shadow board members views on where the OCR should be in a year’s time ranged from 2.25-2.75%.
The general view is the central bank should be cautious at this stage and wait for further data to assess how the economy will track over the coming months.
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