RBNZ: What might have happened without LVRs
It has released a report today, using a counterfactual analysis to determine how the LVR rules have affected the housing market.
The counterfactual scenario is a description of what could have happened in the absence of the LVR restrictions, over the same period.
In the report, author Gael Price says that since banks have been limited to no more than 10% of their new lending to low-deposit borrowers, house price inflation has declined and credit growth has stabilised.
Price said the point of the analysis was to determine how much of that was due to the LVR rules, and how much was affected by other factors.
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