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Reserve Bank springs surprise with dovish OCR forecast

Thursday 9th of August 2018

The Reserve Bank was widely expected to keep rates at a record low, yet market economists were taken off guard by the central bank’s language.

Reserve Bank Governor Adrian Orr hinted at a softer outlook for the New Zealand economy, following a sustained period of weak economic growth.

Imre Spiezer, head of NZ Strategy at Westpac, said the OCR forecast change had sprung a “dovish surprise to markets”.

Westpac’s Dominick Stephens said the forecast change was “predictable” as he “never thought growth could live up to the hype the Reserve Bank expected”.

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