Sunny MPS a surprise for some
While the OCR remained unchanged at 1.75%, with longer term inflation projected to reach the middle of range (2%), RBNZ’s GDP predictions are causing some economists to scratch their heads.
Dominick Stephens, chief economist at Westpac, says the forecasted GDP of 1.2% by March 18 is quixotic.
“It’s quite extraordinarily optimistic, to the point of being unrealistic”.
He says that given the weakening housing market, lowering of business confidence, construction stalling and electronic card transactions flat, it’s highly improbable that RBNZ’s predicted GDP will be realised.
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