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All eyes on interest rates for the next two years

Aside from the expected RBNZ 0.50% OCR drop on Wednesday, economists are expecting a thorough update of where it sees interest rates going over the next two years. [READ ON]

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Bollard slashes interest rates

Reserve Bank governor Alan Bollard met the most extreme expectations in slashing interest rates, citing ongoing financial market turmoil and the deteriorating global economy.

Thursday, December 4th 2008, 10:38AM

by Jenny Ruth

Bollard slashed his official cash rate (OCR) from 6.5% to 5%, the biggest ever cut since the central bank introduced the measure in March 1999. The OCR is now at its lowest level since January 2004 and is down from 8.25% in July.

Given recent developments globally, "it is appropriate to deliver this reduction quickly to support the economy and keep inflation from falling below the target band," Bollard said.

The New Zealand dollar was little changed after the announcement while wholesale interest rates fell about five basis points after the announcement.

ASB’s chief economist Nick Tuffley says the magnitude of the rate cut shows Bollard wants to be very proactive in responding to global events.

"It’s a very pragmatic move. Monetary policy is the quickest way to get some stimulus back into the economy," Tuffley says. In normal circumstances, an OCR at about 6.5% would be regarded as neutral.

Tuffley says Bollard could deliver another cut of up to 100 basis points when he next reviews the OCR in late January.

"Between now and the end of January, I wouldn’t expect that we see much encouraging news on the global front. The situation’s likely to confirm their view that there’s a lot of downside risk to their forecasts."

Brendan O’Donovan, chief economist at Westpac says Bollard could have justified a cut anywhere between 75 and 200 basis points and by cutting so much is indicating a very proactive stance towards the current crisis.

O’Donovan says the bank is also responding to credit availability as well as the poor global outlook.

Bollard explicitly targeted banks: "To ensure the response we are seeking, we expect financial institutions to play their part in the economic adjustment process by passing on lower wholesale interest rates to their customers."

ASB Bank moved quickly in cutting its variable mortgage rate to 7.95% from 8.7% within 15 minutes of the announcement – it had already cut the rate in November from 9.45% in anticipation of the OCR falling.

« OCR reduced to 5%HSBC's mortgage book shrinks but profits jump »

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 5.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.99 5.99 5.69 5.69
ANZ 7.89 6.59 6.29 6.29
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Bank 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 8.40 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.94 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.79 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 7.65 5.99 5.75 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 7.65 6.49 6.25 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 6.40 6.10 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.00 6.70 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.49 5.65 5.55 5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society ▼8.60 6.75 6.40 -
ICBC 7.49 5.99 5.65 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.75 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 8.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.75 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 8.44 5.95 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.99 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 5.44 5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.69 6.49 6.49 6.49
TSB Special 7.89 5.69 5.69 5.69
Unity 7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.10 6.05 5.79 -
Westpac 8.39 6.89 6.39 6.39
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 6.29 5.79 5.79
Median 7.99 6.02 5.79 5.69

Last updated: 20 November 2024 9:45am

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