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Mortgages

Mortgage Rates Daily Commentary
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Rise in households struggling with mortgage repayments; RBNZ: house prices still near top of sustainable levels

Mortgage arrears continue to rise but are still low by historical levels. [READ ON]

The Reserve Bank says house prices remain near the top of its estimate of sustainable levels and remain “a stretch” for many would-be buyers. [See here]

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Surprise OCR cut

While many economic forecasters were expecting the Reserve Bank to cut the OCR later this year the central bank moved today shaving another 25 basis points off the cash rate.

Thursday, March 10th 2016, 9:02AM 1 Comment

The RBNZ has cut the OCR to 2.25% citing a myriad of concerns particularly around weaker world conditions and lower inflation expectations.

There are so many concerns around the global economy that further OCR cuts may come.
The bank expects headline inflation to move higher over the year, but take longer to reach the target range of 1-3%.
Its key comments about the future are: “Monetary policy will continue to be accommodative.”
“Further policy easing maybe required to ensure that future average inflation settles near the middle of the target range.”
Floating home loan rates are likely to start falling today following the RBNZ announcement.
While the OCR cut is likely to encourage banks to lower short-term interest rates, longer-term ones may increase.
The RBNZ notes that the cost of funding through longer-term wholesale borrowing has risen with the pick up in financial market volatility.
“The increase in longer-term wholesale costs this year adds to the increasing trend since 2014, which reflects a mix of global regulatory changes, concerns about commodity markets and emerging economies, and broader financial sector risks.”
“To date, strong deposit growth has limited the need for New Zealand banks to borrow at these higher rates. However, acceleration in credit growth over the past year might increase banks’ reliance on higher-cost long-term wholesale funding leading to higher New Zealand mortgage rates.”

Inflation concerns
A key concern for the RBNZ is that the inflation outlook looks weaker than when it released its previous Monetary Policy Statement in December.
It says this is due to subdued economic outlook.
The bank forecasts the 90-day interest rates to decline over the first half of this year and then remain low, “consistent with the weak outlook for inflationary pressure.”
It forecasts the 90-day rate to fall from 2.8% to 2.1% by the middle of next year then sit at that level for some time.

Domestic bliss, except for dairy
On the domestic front the RBNZ says the dairy sector faces “difficult challenges” but domestic growth is expected to be supported by strong inward migration, tourism, a pipeline of construction activity and “accommodative monetary policy”.

In its Monetary Policy Statement it the bank “judges it is appropriate for monetary policy to be more stimulatory than projected in December.”
“This stimulus is need to support continued expansion in the New Zealand economy, and is expected to contribute to GDP growth of around 3% per annum over the next two years.”

Here's what the Reserve Bank said today

Tags: OCR

« What the Reserve Bank said todayTiming of OCR cut surprises »

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Comments from our readers

On 10 March 2016 at 10:10 am Selwyn said:
Quantitative easing continues and prolongs the pain of 'true' recovery. House prices will continue to rise as Bank profits soar.

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Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 5.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.99 5.99 5.69 5.69
ANZ 7.89 6.59 6.29 6.29
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Bank 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 8.40 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.94 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.79 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 7.65 5.99 5.75 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 7.65 6.49 6.25 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 6.40 6.10 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.00 6.70 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.49 ▼5.65 ▼5.55 ▼5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.00 6.50 -
ICBC 7.49 5.99 5.65 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.75 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 8.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.75 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 8.44 ▼6.39 ▼6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.99 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - ▼6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 5.44 ▼5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.69 6.79 6.49 6.49
TSB Special 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
Unity ▼7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 8.50 ▼6.19 ▼5.79 -
Westpac 8.39 6.89 6.39 6.39
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 6.29 5.79 5.79
Median 7.99 6.17 5.79 5.69

Last updated: 30 October 2024 9:36am

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