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MR - Experts Views

Market now expects October OCR hike

Monday 14th of February 2011

ANZ Market Focus says for now it thinks the market is probably right to take a downbeat view, although there is always the risk of an upside surprise.

"But to the extent that the yield curve is steepening up, increasing the cost of long term borrowing and raising the hurdle to investment, the Reserve Bank can afford to sit back for awhile."

J.P.Morgan Weekly Prospects says with consumers saving more and spending less, the retail sector has suffered with yesterday's retail sales showing an outright fall in sales values in December and a drop in volumes in 4Q.

"Having been stuck in this holding pattern since exiting recession, the New Zealand economy is badly in need of an external catalyst to growth," says J.P.Morgan.

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