Next OCR hike not till March: ASB
It has moved the next OCR increase back three months from December to March next year.
"The interaction between dairy prices, the NZ dollar and interest rates suggest that something will have to give. In the absence of a substantial rebound in global dairy prices or a substantial fall in the NZ dollar, interest rates will have to remain stimulatory for longer than we had expected."
ASB chief economist Nick Tuffley says a longer pause in the tightening cycle would buffer the economy from lower dairy prices and continued strength in the dollar.
"Recent inflation outcomes also suggest the Reserve Bank has time on its side."
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