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MR - Experts Views

OCR predictions for the New Year

Tuesday 21st of December 2010

The official cash rate (OCR) is predicted to increase by 25 basis points in June to 3.25% with only two further increases by the end of 2011 according to a www.mortgagerates.co.nz survey of economists.

Opinion is split on the second increase, with ASB and Westpac expecting the OCR to rise to 3.50% in September, whereas ANZ and BNZ believe the second increase will be more significant with 50 basis points making it 3.75%.

December 2011 projections are more widely divided with ASB and Westpac expecting the OCR to end the year at 3.75%, ANZ expecting 4.00% and BNZ 4.25%.

BNZ economist Tony Alexander says in the Weekly Overview that the economy is growing but not by all that much.

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