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MR - Experts Views

Reserve Bank may hold off on raising OCR beyond mid-year

Friday 19th of March 2010

Goldman Sachs JB analyst Philip Borkin says he now expects the first RBNZ Official Cash Rate (OCR) hike to be in the third quarter and for the pace of tightening to be more gradual.

"We believe the RBNZ's new bank liquidity policy has delivered a proxy tightening, contributing to a slowing in housing market momentum.

"Potential changes to the regulatory and tax backdrop should also finally provide the RBNZ with a helping hand."

The RBNZ's new liquidity policy for registered banks requires that they fund a greater portion of their balance sheets via retail deposits or from wholesale sources with greater than 12 month maturities.

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