Eriksen's Master Trust Survey
Tuesday, August 7th 2001, 10:05AM
- Eriksen's Master Trust Survey
- Results To 30 June 2001
Economic
Commentary
In the US the slowing economy and Bush’s tax cuts have combined
to shrink the likely Government surplus, allowing the Democrats
to use their control of the Senate to limit Republican spending.
Earnings forecasts are still dropping despite six rate cuts in
the year to mid July which are unprecedented. Meanwhile inventories
rise and sales fall.
Poor company results in the US and elsewhere are resulting in job cuts and the possibility of recession. Computer hardware and software companies have been especially affected. Oil prices have fallen but OPEC is considering further restrictions on oil supplies to keep prices around $25 per barrel. Oil prices are having a major impact by slowing global growth. The US economic machine continues to move forward but is still slowing down despite Alan Greenspan’s aggressive actions.
Another problem in the US has been the slowdown in company capital spending, following the spending boom during the late 1990’s. Consumer spending has held up remarkably well. We believe a global recession is likely over the next six to eighteen months.
New Zealand and Australia have been largely unaffected by the downturn in the Northern Hemisphere so far. We are still benefiting from the export gains produced by soft currencies. Inflation in both countries has increased. New Zealand has been affected by the higher cost of imports, food price increases and structural changes from Government policy changes.
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Growth Funds | |||||||
Tower Focus NZ Shares |
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Jacques Martin Asset Growth |
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Tower ANZ Growth |
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Sovereign ESP Special Values |
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Tower BNZ Dynamic Growth |
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GRT Individual Retirement Plan Growth |
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WestpacTrust Dynamic |
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AMP High Equity |
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Tower Focus International Shares |
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All Growth Funds |
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Balanced Funds | |||||||
Tower Investment Linked |
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Sovereign ESP Balanced Growth |
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AMP ANZ Balanced |
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Tower BNZ Balanced Growth |
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Tower BT Managed Growth |
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Jacques Martin Balanced |
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AMP BT |
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Sovereign SERP Balanced |
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AXA NZ Managed |
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GRT Individual Retirement Plan Balanced |
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WestpacTrust Balanced |
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AMP Balanced |
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AXA NZ Balanced |
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Planit Plans Diversified |
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ASB Funds Management Balanced |
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Armstrong Jones SIL Balanced |
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AMP AJ Balanced |
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AXA NZ Spread Managers |
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Jacques Martin Growth Fund |
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All Balanced Funds |
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Conservative Funds | |||||||
Tower Conservative |
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Jacques Martin Cash Management |
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AMP Capital Assured |
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WestpacTrust Accumulation |
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Tower Focus Cash |
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Tower Focus Fixed Income |
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AXA NZ Capital Protected |
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Sovereign ESP Conservative |
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AXA NZ Low Risk |
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GRT Individual Retirement Plan Stable |
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AMP Capital Stable |
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Jacques Martin Capital Stable |
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All Conservative Funds |
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Total Funds |
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Cash Benchmark (Net) |
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CPI |
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1. The above table excludes some surveyed funds due to space limitations. Excluded funds are generally those closed to new members; or having less than $1.0 mill invested. A separate edition in Adobe Acrobat (.pdf) format contains all of the funds surveyed. The full edition can be downloaded from www.eriksens.co.nz.
- The weighted results shown above include all funds surveyed, not just those shown above.
3. This survey has been compiled from publicly available sources and information from the respective Master Trust providers. Investment decisions or comparisons should not be based on past performances in isolation from other factors. Eriksen & Associates accepts no liability for any errors herein, or any decisions made as a consequence of the information shown.
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