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Review: The Day the Bubble Bursts

Many people are predicting a property crash is immiment. In this latest book, The Day the Bubble Bursts, Olly Newland writes about how you can profit from the upcoming property slump.

Sunday, June 6th 2004, 1:17PM
Profit From The Upcoming Property Slump
Reviewed by Vicky Powell

The Day the Bubble Bursts
By Olly Newland
$29.95

Life would certainly be easier if access to a crystal ball was an option, predicting things like a property boom and subsequent bust would be a cinch. However, young(ish) investors like myself have to rely on the seasoned experience of our elder peers who have survived and thrived through the various booms and busts and glean information from those who are willing to share these invaluable experiences with us.

Olly Newland has more than four decades of experience as a full time investor in the New Zealand property market and along the way has seen every type of market, including the '87 sharemarket crash and the subsequent property slump, then boom.

In The Day the Bubble Bursts Newland recounts these past experiences and cycles of history to predict an impending property bust. He relates how the property boom in the 1970's turned into a major slump after a flare-up in the Middle East pushed up oil prices and the price of oil went through the roof. Recognising these warning signals could save you and Newland lists what to look out for. Be aware though that this bust could come sooner rather than later.

And when it comes, it will catch us all by surprise.

The Day the Bubble Bursts includes some useful tips on how to survive or minimise your risk leading up to the bust, including what type of property investment is recommended during the slump and how to deal with banks. Some age-old advice thrown in by Newland regarding your property investment is, 'Stay away from rubbish. Rubbish is always rubbish - whatever the market is doing'.

Once you have prepared for the slump, then you need patience and timing. Whilst waiting for the downturn, if you have spare cash don't put it all into only one type of investment. Newland recommends an alternative investment that could save your skin (and it's not putting it into the bank, as this isn't guaranteed either). He touts that when the bubble bursts, he who has cash will be king.

Then like any seasoned investor, it's time to profit when the market reaches the bottom. Newland guides you through the best timing for driving some hard bargains and making some cheeky offers.

If you are a savvy property investor or are new to the league of property investors, you should read this book - then read it again. Newland's tips will prepare you now during the good times, before the property market does slump. Now is the time to sell off any non-performing investments, because the sooner you act, the sooner you will be in a position to take advantage of the rush for the exit.

Olly Newland has a casual, entertaining writing style that makes his books so easy to read and digest. He is the author of numerous property titles including the best selling book, The Rascal's Guide to Real Estate - acclaimed as a bold and frank handbook for investors who value the practical over theory.

The Day the Bubble Bursts is available online through the Good Returns Bookstore at www.goodreturns.co.nz/books

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.49 5.79 5.49 5.59
ANZ 7.39 6.39 6.19 6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.79 5.59 5.59
ASB Bank 7.39 5.79 5.49 5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance 8.35 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.44 5.79 5.59 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans ▼5.80 - - -
CFML Home Loans ▼6.25 - - -
CFML Prime Loans ▼7.85 - - -
CFML Standard Loans ▼8.80 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.69 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.95 5.79 5.59 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 6.95 6.29 6.09 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 5.99 5.89 -
First Credit Union Standard 7.69 6.69 6.39 -
Heartland Bank - Online 6.99 5.49 5.39 5.45
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society ▼8.15 ▼6.50 ▼6.30 -
ICBC 7.49 5.79 5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 7.39 5.79 5.59 5.69
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.25 6.69 6.49 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.25 5.79 5.59 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 7.94 5.75 5.99 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 5.89 5.49 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 4.94 4.89 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity ▼9.39 - - -
TSB Bank 8.19 6.49 6.39 6.39
TSB Special 7.39 5.69 5.59 5.59
Unity 7.64 5.79 5.55 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 7.70 5.95 5.75 -
Westpac 7.39 6.39 6.09 6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday 7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 5.79 5.49 5.59
Median 7.49 5.79 5.69 5.69

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