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Adviser rejects psychometric risk profiling

Traditional methods of assessing client risk tolerance leave much to be desired, according to an adviser who has developed a different way of doing things.

Thursday, October 11th 2012, 6:00AM 9 Comments

by Niko Kloeten

While many advisers now use psychometric testing to assess client attitudes to risk, Mike Newton of Newton Ross said he wasn’t convinced of the usefulness of such tools.

“The bottom line is we don’t I guess give a client quizzes or a questionnaire to determine their risk profile,” he said. 

“In a way that’s kind of lazy, because you don’t have to do any forecasting work around the portfolio or the different outcomes.”

Rather than using tests to work out how conservative or aggressive clients are with regards to investments and using that information to design a portfolio, Newton Ross approaches the issue from the other end.

“The way we do it is we actually sit down with the client and show them the likely range of outcomes from different strategies in terms of their wealth,” Newton said.

“This requires three things. The first is to understand the expected average rates of return and range of return for different asset classes.  Secondly you need to construct a portfolio and understand the risks of this portfolio in terms of the expected range of returns.

“Thirdly you need to model the client’s cashflow situation – the likely cashflow in and out of the portfolio – and given average rates of return work out what is the expected outcome of that portfolio.”

Newton said the process “empowers” clients as it enables them to see the range of outcomes and make an informed decision about their portfolio.

“With risk profiling the question is, what’s right?” he said.  “Right is what can only be right in terms of the client understands the consequences of the decisions they are making. 

“We get clients who have talked to other advisers who will want to debate the semantics of whether they are conservative or moderately conservative.  The question is what the hell do those actually mean?”

Niko Kloeten can be contacted at niko@goodreturns.co.nz

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Comments from our readers

On 11 October 2012 at 2:36 pm When will it all end said:
I think this is called the common sense approach to risk profiling. The better a client understands their own needs, the scenarios to achieving that and the potential risks involved, without being subjected to some, at the end of the day, subjective analysis which scares the hell out of most mum and dad investors, the sooner we build client trust. This psychometric testing is just another ruse by clever marketing people to add further to the cost of providing good, solid advice. It is used for everything now, even to employing someone working in a supermarket. It requires skilled individuals to analyse the results and at the end of the day many people try to second guess the answers, or are become confused by slightly different inferences in questions. I expect the FMA will endorse this method completely and Strategi will have 47 new courses available to us in weeks. I understand the need to improve our skills and to provide quality advice, but there seem to be so many people on the pigs back now trying to screw the industry over.
On 11 October 2012 at 4:04 pm Amused said:
@ When will it all end.

Well said that chap. I think many advisers in the industry would agree with your comments 100 percent. The common sense approach that has traditionally been our role is now continually hi-jacked nowadays by people with a self-serving agenda to push. Advisers are well and truly over it. These so called "experts" need to remember that those that can do, those that can't teach (or should that be preach?)
On 12 October 2012 at 9:43 am w k said:
Knowing whether a person is your potential client or should be dumped, is most vital.

Example, some years back, a person wanted to purchase a savings plan. After I identified her objectives and time horizon, I asked her about her tolerance to risks and expected ROI over the period. She wanted (almost insisted) a managed funds that is guaranteed and pays above bank interest rates. I said to her there is no fund that will do that. Then told her she is not ready for investment and that she is better off saving in the bank, and walk away. That saved all my time, paper and ink.

Some of you may say, if I should have educated her about managed funds / investments, etc. That is correct, but my gut feel about this client is that should the fund take a dive, her mind will be on her losses and who to complain to rather than the education bit. The thousand plus commission, I feel, is just not worth it. This will save work for the compliance / complaints vultures.
On 12 October 2012 at 10:45 am when will it all end said:
wk, I agree with you. This seems to me to be the only industry where you can do a good job for a client, be totally compliant, have all the hard evidence and still be subjected to complaints, the costs incurred to the business and reputation.
The problem has been, and may be for another generation, the lack of financial literacy in New Zealand and the distrust the public has for our profession, much of the latter because of sharks in the industry, both advisers and providers. The new regime, though welcome, will not help us initially because, we are having to cover our backs all the time rather than making advice a natural process.
Compliance costs will increase and whatever the FMA says, they will have to justify their existence. I personally think they will force some of the good guys out of the industry as well as the cowboys.
On 12 October 2012 at 12:00 pm w k said:
@when will it all end.

For this reason, I choose to be an RFA. I'm in business to serve my clients and to make a living, NOT to feed someone who don't know how to run a business to tell me how to do my business. And, of course, I am anticipating that if not enough advisers become AFAs to feed these folks, RFAs will soon end up also having to pay some kind of fees to make up the shortfall, thus, I have already planned my exit strategy as I am not a fan of feeding vultures.

Don't get me wrong, I am all for regulations, but there is definitely a more effective way which will cost advisers far lesser. It will never be adopted, 'cos the current system has become a gravy train.


On 12 October 2012 at 2:41 pm Andy said:
wooowooo - climb aboard... (Ref to WK). We have no choice! But great to see that we all agree - common sense has been legislated out of the industry, and we are not able to give people what they ask for.

I know that the night will follow day, but not sure I could prove it.

Has anyone else noticed that the penalties for doing it the wrong way seem to be far greater than the penalties for actually causing a loss, even if the process is followed?
On 12 October 2012 at 5:06 pm Rhodes Donald said:
Niko's description is all very well as far as it goes. Risk profiling has never been touted as the basis of constructing an investment portfolio. Some sort of modelling is definitely required but so is an attempt to assess the investor's investment temperament and a risk profile is ideal for that. It seems from a lot of the comments following Niko's article that there are a number of folks new to this game. There is not debate amongst the experts anywhere in the world that I know of that doesn't do at least the following three things when preparing an investment policy: cash flow modelling (preferably monte carlo modelling), risk profiling (using a reputable psychometric tool) and a risk capacity assessment, the latter being as important as the other two. Of course many people can't afford to pay someone to do all that for them so they should buy a managed fund off RaboDirect, I reckon.
On 13 October 2012 at 9:29 am w k said:
@andy. already board mate.

You said "I know that the night will follow day", while some said "there's light at the end of the tunnel". I say, make that light you see at the end of the tunnel is not the train coming.

Good Luck.
On 19 October 2012 at 1:10 pm vroomvroom said:
One of the most sensible articles I have read all year. What matters most is the investor's time horizon, personal financial situation and goals. Who on earth know's what their attitude to risk is when they have never taken a risk? Our job is to guide the client and give them a sensible, well informed approach to investment. Completing questionnaire is simply form filling and does not add any value.

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