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Risk of property price fall: S&P

New Zealand is still at significant risk of a sharp correction in property prices, according to Standard and Poors.

Thursday, February 28th 2013, 12:00AM

by The Landlord

The rating agencies said in a report out today that its base-case scenario for Kiwi banks was that medium-term real estate prices stablised current levels,  stabilising the asset quality metrics of the banking sector.

Mortgages make up about 60% of the banking system’s loans.

But credit analyst Nico DeLange said there was still a risk of a shock to prices.

“A significant risk remains of a sharp correction in property prices occurring given the uncertain short-to medium term outlook for the global economy. This could potentially lead to a build-up of economic risks, resulting in the lowering of the economic risk score of New Zealand  to ‘4’ from ‘3’. Such a change could have a direct impact on the stand-alone credit profile of New Zealand banks, and the issuer credit ratings of banks in New Zealand that do not benefit from group support.”

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 4.94 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.49 ▼5.54 ▼5.29 5.59
ANZ 7.39 6.17 6.04 6.19
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.57 5.44 5.59
ASB Bank 7.39 ▼5.54 ▼5.29 5.59
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 7.90 - - -
Basecorp Finance 8.35 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.54 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.44 ▼5.55 5.29 ▼5.59
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.54 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 5.80 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.25 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 7.85 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 8.80 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.49 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 6.95 5.59 5.49 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 6.95 6.09 5.99 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - ▼5.79 ▼5.69 -
First Credit Union Standard 7.69 ▼6.49 ▼6.19 -
Heartland Bank - Online 6.99 5.49 5.39 5.45
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.15 6.50 6.30 -
ICBC 6.95 ▼5.55 5.59 5.59
Kainga Ora 7.39 5.79 5.59 5.69
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.25 6.45 ▼6.19 ▼6.39
Kiwibank - Offset 7.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.25 5.55 ▼5.29 ▼5.59
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 7.94 5.55 5.84 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.49 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - 5.89 5.49 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 4.94 4.89 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.39 - - -
TSB Bank 8.19 6.39 6.25 6.39
TSB Special 7.39 5.59 5.45 5.59
Unity 7.64 ▼5.59 ▼5.49 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society 7.70 5.95 5.75 -
Westpac 7.39 6.19 5.99 6.19
Westpac Choices Everyday 7.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 7.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 5.59 5.39 5.59
Median 7.49 5.69 5.69 5.69

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