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The Markets

Global central banks keep rates low

New Zealand shares rose with overseas markets after both the US Federal Reserve and the Bank of England held interest rates low.

Friday, November 5th 2021, 6:24PM

by BusinessDesk

The S&P/NZX 50 Index rose 130.67 points, or 1%, to 13074.61. Turnover was $220 million.

Mark Smith, a senior economist at ASB Bank, said markets “breathed a collective sigh of relief” when the US Federal Reserve signalled it was in no hurry to hike interest rates.

“This provided a boost to global equities, with the MSCI global equity gauge hitting a record high after the decision and with gains in US and European stocks overnight,” he said.

Encouragement also came from the Bank of England, which made a shock decision to not raise interest rates as investors had expected, BNZ rate strategist Nick Smyth said.

“UK rates fell as much as 20 basis points and the British pound slumped 1.4%, with the decision reverberating to other bond markets,” he said. 

Finally, the Reserve Bank of Australia boosted its forecast for gross domestic product growth to be 5.5% in 2022, more than a percentage point increase from the 4% previously predicted.

All this spelt good news for NZ equities which experienced a broad and strong rally across sectors.

Port of Tauranga led the market higher, climbing 3.7% to $6.75, followed by Mainfreight Limited which rose 3.4% to $89.70.

Mainfreight is expected to report a strong interim result next Thursday, driven by “the global freight super-cycle and supported by market share gains,” according to Forsyth Barr.

An analyst note said the stock was benefiting from significant increases in sea freight costs which it can pass on to customers at higher margins.

“We expect over-earning to remain a feature over the next several years, albeit to a lessening extent as congestion in the global freight market gradually improves,” they said.

Z Energy declined 0.5% to $3.59 in an unusual decline as the share price has been anchored by Ampol’s takeover offer in recent sessions.

Analysts were unimpressed by its recent earnings result, describing it as "less worse" with covid still impacting sales.

Some fund managers have said they will sell their stake in Z Energy in order to reinvest capital elsewhere, rather than wait for the takeover deal to jump through regulatory hoops.

Forsyth Barr analysts said it was “still early days in the takeover process” and the timing would depend on how the Commerce Commission reacted to Ampol’s offer to sell Gull.

Fisher & Paykel Healthcare was up 2.1% at $32.46 and A2 Milk rose 2% to $6.67.

Briscoe Group dropped 1.9% to $6.74 after it reported a 14% drop in third-quarter sales due to the latest covid lockdown. It still expects to achieve its profit guidance of more than $73 million. 

Hallenstein Glasson Holdings shares also fell, down 1% to $6.93.

The NZ dollar was trading at 71.05 US cents at 3pm in Wellington, down from 71.67 cents yesterday after the Bank of England’s decision to leave interest rates unchanged saw traders buy low-risk currencies.

It was up against the British pound – trading at 52.64 pence from 52.27 – which slumped after the decision.

Tags: Market Close

« Property stocks pull NZX 50 lowerNZX 50 falls as F&P Healthcare slips »

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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 5.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.99 5.99 5.69 5.69
ANZ 7.89 6.59 6.29 6.29
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Bank 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 8.40 - - -
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BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.94 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.79 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ 7.65 5.99 5.75 5.69
Co-operative Bank - Standard 7.65 6.49 6.25 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 6.40 6.10 -
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Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.00 6.50 -
ICBC 7.49 5.99 5.65 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.75 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 8.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.75 5.99 5.69 5.69
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Nelson Building Society 8.44 ▼6.39 ▼6.09 -
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SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 5.44 ▼5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.69 6.79 6.49 6.49
TSB Special 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
Unity ▼7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
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Westpac 8.39 6.89 6.39 6.39
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.49 - - -
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Westpac Special - 6.29 5.79 5.79
Median 7.99 6.17 5.79 5.69

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