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A view of Brexit, from London

Tuesday 7th of June 2016

Although this month’s vote by the UK population on whether they should choose to remain in the EU or depart is being billed as being of immense significance to the UK, we suspect that it is the world that should fear any consequences of a possible Brexit as much as the UK should fear the event. 

Of course, for most British citizens, the subject of Brexit has become charged with a fair degree of emotion and we suspect that many people will simply vote on the basis of their gut-feel rather than the (usually pro-EU) thoughts of ‘200 economists and the IMF’.

Indeed, we suspect that much of the population has known for some time that, if you find enough economists, eventually you will indeed find 200 to support any particular view....

When it comes to the actual vote, we suspect that many voters will vote according to emotion and that the people that will turn out to vote may not be entirely representative of the population at large, thereby making the likely outcome of the vote still quite difficult to call.

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