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Govt not interested in affordable house prices

Friday, January 27th 2012, 11:23AM 2 Comments

by Philip Macalister

So how unaffordable are houses in New Zealand at the moment? If you are like me you will have seen and read heaps about how steep house prices are in New Zealand.

At the end of last year we had The Economist on the topic, since then there have been reports from Massey University and Demographia.

It's hard to argue with the results of these surveys. But it is much harder to find a solution.

Earlier this week Radio New Zealand invited me onto The Panel , Jim Mora's afternoon show on National Radio to talk about the subject.


Panellist Gary McCormack was particularly hot on the subject suggesting if we can't bring house prices down then democracy is stuffed. One answer , he suggested, was to make land more readily available for building on.

If it was only so easy.

What people seem to forget about this argument is that house prices are governed by many factors. Home loan rates, immigration, building costs, land cost, supply and demand and so the list goes on. While there are all these factors their interaction with each other is complex.

Really there is neither a simple answer nor a straightforward solution to this problem.

You can't, and no government would dare, make a bunch of changes which would drive house prices down just so they were affordable for the small group of people (relatively) wanting to get onto the property ladder.

Housing still remains our biggest financial asset. To make changes like that would wipe billions of dollars off the wealth of New Zealanders.

When you look at the housing market it is clear the bottom of the cycle has been reached. That means there is only one direction that it is likely to head. Upwards.

The reality is that property isn't going to get more "affordable".

Instead of looking at all these surveys and complaining that you can't afford a house. Look at it like this.

Houses are now more affordable than they were in the past four years.
« Sorry, there ain't no property rortIs there a property bubble brewing? »

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Comments from our readers

On 31 January 2012 at 11:40 pm Scott said:
Why do all the studies focus on house prices? I think dwelling prices/ dwelling affordability would be much more relevant.
On 9 February 2012 at 8:09 pm Alan Parkin said:
As subdivision and land development professionals our observation of Councils throughout the North Island is that they are becoming more and more strict in the application of their district plan rules and the interpretation of the RMA - this is forcing the costs of obtaining subdivision Resource Consents higher resulting in higher land prices or developers not proceeding with developments as their financial viability decreases.
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Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 5.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.99 5.99 5.69 5.69
ANZ 7.89 6.59 6.29 6.29
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Bank 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 8.40 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.94 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.79 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ ▲8.15 ▲6.79 ▲6.45 ▲6.29
Co-operative Bank - Standard 7.65 6.49 6.25 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 6.40 6.10 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.00 6.70 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.49 ▼5.65 ▼5.55 ▼5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.00 6.50 -
ICBC 7.49 5.99 5.65 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.75 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 8.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.75 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 8.44 6.39 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.99 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - ▼6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 5.44 ▼5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.69 6.79 6.49 6.49
TSB Special 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
Unity ▼7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society ▼8.10 ▼6.19 ▼5.79 -
Westpac 8.39 6.89 6.39 6.39
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 6.29 5.79 5.79
Median 7.99 6.24 6.09 5.69

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