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MR - Experts Views

Economists divided on when OCR will rise

Friday 29th of January 2010

Most economists are predicting an official cash rate hike in April of 25 basis points which falls broadly within the Reserve Bank statement of "the middle of 2010".

Westpac, JP Morgan, ASB and Deutsche Bank all predict an increase at the April meeting of 25 basis points with Deutsche Bank predicting a steeper 50 basis points.

BNZ is the only bank taking a different stance, predicting a rise of 25 basis points at the June 10 meeting.

BNZ chief economist Tony Alexander says he expects rate increases to then continue by 25 basis points until the rate reaches somewhere close to 6% in 2012.

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