tmmonline.nz  |   landlords.co.nz        About Good Returns  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  RSS Feeds

NZ's Financial Adviser News Centre

GR Logo
Last Article Uploaded: Sunday, November 3rd, 1:12PM

News

rss
Latest Headlines

Turbo-charged returns can't last: Super Fund

Strong market returns experienced over the past five years are unlikely to continue into the future -  but low interest rates are likely here to stay, the NZ Super Fund’s manager of investment analysis, Roland Winn, says.

Thursday, June 23rd 2016, 6:00AM

by Susan Edmunds

The fund has released a new report that explains its view of the global investment environment and the implications of that. Overall, it is taking less risk than it was a year ago.

Winn said the global economy was growing slowly, with only the US performing well from a global perspective.  Global equity prices had recovered from the volatility of earlier in the year and most asset classes were now fairly valued, he said.

But while most of the asset classes and investments the fund was tracking were neither cheap nor expensive, there were now some parts of the market that seemed overpriced, such as European sovereign bonds where negative rates were offered for long terms.

Winn said that did not seem right. “At some point they will have to change to positive rates.”

He said although emerging markets were slowing, the fund was overweight in its exposure to them because they seemed cheap compared to developed markets.

The New Zealand economy remained closely tied to the fortunes of those emerging markets, he said.

Based solely on the numbers, market multiples were higher than they had been in the past, he said, which could indicate stretched valuations for local equities. But the composition of the market had changed, too.

But he said it would be a mistake to think New Zealand equities could continue its strong run of recent years. “It’s very dangerous to extrapolate out the very strong returns we have had in the last five years.”

He said it should be expected that returns would be lower in future.

Winn said there was a shortage of outright good investment opportunities so the fund was taking less active investment risk than a year ago, although its ratio of 80% growth assets to 20% defensive remained static.

The recovery from the GFC was continuing and interest rates would stay low for longer than a normal recovery, Winn said.

The fund is expecting to deliver 8% to 9% over the long term.

Tags: interest rates investment NZ Super Fund

« Roboadvice could complement adviser businessesLVR restrictions to be reviewed »

Special Offers

Comments from our readers

No comments yet

Sign In to add your comment

 

print

Printable version  

print

Email to a friend
News Bites
Latest Comments
Subscribe Now

Weekly Wrap

Previous News
Most Commented On
Mortgage Rates Table

Full Rates Table | Compare Rates

Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
AIA - Back My Build 5.44 - - -
AIA - Go Home Loans 7.99 5.99 5.69 5.69
ANZ 7.89 6.59 6.29 6.29
ANZ Blueprint to Build 7.39 - - -
ANZ Good Energy - - - 1.00
ANZ Special - 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Bank 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
ASB Better Homes Top Up - - - 1.00
Avanti Finance 8.40 - - -
Basecorp Finance 9.60 - - -
BNZ - Classic - 5.99 5.69 5.69
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
BNZ - Mortgage One 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Rapid Repay 7.94 - - -
BNZ - Std 7.94 5.99 5.69 5.69
BNZ - TotalMoney 7.94 - - -
CFML 321 Loans 6.20 - - -
CFML Home Loans 6.45 - - -
CFML Prime Loans 8.25 - - -
CFML Standard Loans 9.20 - - -
China Construction Bank - 7.09 6.75 6.49
China Construction Bank Special - - - -
Co-operative Bank - First Home Special - 5.79 - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Co-operative Bank - Owner Occ ▲8.15 ▲6.79 ▲6.45 ▲6.29
Co-operative Bank - Standard 7.65 6.49 6.25 6.19
Credit Union Auckland 7.70 - - -
First Credit Union Special - 6.40 6.10 -
First Credit Union Standard 8.50 7.00 6.70 -
Heartland Bank - Online 7.49 ▼5.65 ▼5.55 ▼5.55
Heartland Bank - Reverse Mortgage - - - -
Heretaunga Building Society 8.90 7.00 6.50 -
ICBC 7.49 5.99 5.65 5.59
Kainga Ora 8.39 7.05 6.59 6.49
Kainga Ora - First Home Buyer Special - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Kiwibank 7.75 6.89 6.59 6.49
Kiwibank - Offset 8.25 - - -
Kiwibank Special 7.75 5.99 5.69 5.69
Liberty 8.59 8.69 8.79 8.94
Nelson Building Society 8.44 6.39 6.09 -
Pepper Money Advantage 10.49 - - -
Pepper Money Easy 8.69 - - -
Pepper Money Essential 8.29 - - -
SBS Bank 7.99 6.95 6.29 6.29
SBS Bank Special - ▼6.15 5.69 5.69
SBS Construction lending for FHB - - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
SBS FirstHome Combo 5.44 ▼5.15 - -
SBS FirstHome Combo - - - -
SBS Unwind reverse equity 9.75 - - -
TSB Bank 8.69 6.79 6.49 6.49
TSB Special 7.89 5.99 5.69 5.69
Unity ▼7.64 5.99 5.69 -
Unity First Home Buyer special - 5.49 - -
Wairarapa Building Society ▼8.10 ▼6.19 ▼5.79 -
Westpac 8.39 6.89 6.39 6.39
Westpac Choices Everyday 8.49 - - -
Westpac Offset 8.39 - - -
Lender Flt 1yr 2yr 3yr
Westpac Special - 6.29 5.79 5.79
Median 7.99 6.24 6.09 5.69

Last updated: 1 November 2024 2:24pm

About Us  |  Advertise  |  Contact Us  |  Terms & Conditions  |  Privacy Policy  |  RSS Feeds  |  Letters  |  Archive  |  Toolbox  |  Disclaimer
 
Site by Web Developer and eyelovedesign.com